Amazing Analog Computer

December 22, 2008

I am always a bit uneasy when people talk about how incredible it was that ancient people arranged some stones to line up with the sun on the equinoxes.   Our predecessors are not given much credit.   Sure some of them build impressive structures like the pyramids or Stonehenge but the rest were just ignorant heathens.

In 1901 divers discovered the Antikythera mechanism in a Mediterranean shipwreck.  It is amazing!   Not bad for a 2000 year old design.


Can a Witch Be a Skeptic?

December 18, 2008

Can a witch be a skeptic?  The simple answer is yes.  People from many belief systems consider themselves to be skeptics.  James Randi often tells a story about the great mathematician, skeptic and educator Martin Gardner believing in God.  Probably in the deist sense, but still a belief in God.  Hal Bidlack is another prominent skeptic who is also religious.  There is no reason why Wiccans can not be skeptical as well.

I do have to admit that most of the Wicca I know or have met are what might be described as fantasy prone personalities.  Even so if you do not grow up in such a family then such individuals have made a conscious decision either to switch away from or not join a more mainstream form of religion.

One of the books that may be of interest to such people is James Randi’s Flim Flam.   I suggest this not because I think people who believe in Wicca are being conned or need to be de-converted.  I have just seen the relief of someone who self de-converted.

Skepticism does not require the abandonment of religious beliefs.  There is a reason why there are two interrelated blogs with suspiciously  similar writing styles.   Skepticism and atheism are different yet admittedly  overlapping subjects.  My experience is that many skeptics have some odd belief that they hang onto, be it homeopathy, ghosts, or God.  So yes, you can be a witch skeptic or a Christian skeptic, or even a Muslim skeptic.

So what brought this up?  One of the things WordPress will tell you is the search phrase people use to arrive on the blog.  “Can a witch be a skeptic?” was how one person found their way to one of my posts.  Probably the can you hang a real witch.  “Christian skeptic” is another search term.   For the paranoid, WordPress does not tell me who you are, just what search string was used or the site you came from.  Did you know you drop breadcrumbs when you travel the net?


Ken Miller on Inteligent Design

December 17, 2008

I found this via Lorna Kismet’s Pesky Emotional Republican site.

Ken Miller has written several text books.


Evolution Vs Creationism: Listen to the Scientists

December 17, 2008

I found this via Lorna Kismet’s Pesky Emotional Republican site


More Snake Oil Science

December 16, 2008

Steve Norvella from the Skeptics Guide to the Universe podcast  has a long post on alternative medicine.  He is justifiably appalled at how scientific medicine has been run over by complementary and alternative medicine.


Snake Oil Science

December 14, 2008

I have finished reading  Snake Oil Science: The Truth about Complementary and Alternative Medicine by R. Barker Bausell.  It is a carefully constructed examination of alternative medicine by one of the National Institute of Health’s scientists.  Dr. Bausell was Research Director of a National Institutes of Health funded Complementary and Alternative Medicine Specialized Research Center.

I am very impressed by this book it is written almost like a court case against many forms of alternative medicine.  Bausell manages to do this in a way that is not tedious or boring.  It helps if you appreciate self-deprecating humor.

The book provides an nice overview of various alternative medicines as well as the rise of usage of such therapies.  It also discusses the numerous problems in evaluating the efficacy of such treatments. The author describes his involvement in a number of acupuncture trials, where an attempt was made to create a placebo acupuncture treatment to be used as a control in subsequent experiments.

The best experiments are ones that are double blind.  This is almost impossible to do with some types of therapies.  Double blind means that neither the practitioner nor the subject know if the treatment is the real treatment or a fake treatment.  With pills this is fairly easy, when the treatment is sticking pins into someone this is extremely difficult.   Single blinding acupuncture is done by using needles in tubes attached to the skin.   The needles may or may not penetrate the skin, in locations that may or may not be the correct location.  In the placebo version, pressure on the tubes may be used to simulate insertion of the needle.   This is done on subjects who have never received acupuncture.  However, the acupuncturist still knows if the treatment is real and many subjects are able to correctly guess if they where receiving the placebo.

There are several chapters of the book dedicated to placebos, ranging from history, controlling for it in experiments, proof that it exists and determining the biochemical explanation for such an effect.  It is the chapter on physiological explanations for the placebo effect that has stayed with me.  In it there is a description of a fascinating experiment where a placebo effect was induced and then chemically blocked using an opiate blocker, indicating a physiological mechanism for the placebo effect for pain.

Much of the book walks the reader through the various mechanisms that can create biases in the published results.  I have heard that as many as 80% of all published studies are incorrect (I wish I could find a reference).  Examples of this problem are, studies that find a positive result are more likely to be submitted for publication than those that do not.  Studies that demonstrate a positive result are more likely to be published than those that do not.  Journals that focus on particular alternate therapy that are unlikely to publish a negative result.  Some cultures never publish a negative result. Studies may not be randomized, they may not be single or double blinded.  The list goes on.

When the very high quality experiments in the most prestigious journals are evaluated, there are very few alternative therapies that show positive results.  The book summaries these result and the final conclusion is that the various forms of alternative medicine are rarely if every better than a placebo.  Personally I find it odd that people who have to have the latest in technology often expect the oldest forms of medical technology to work well for them.


Trip to the Creation Museam

December 12, 2008

Secular Alliance of IU took a road trip to Petersburg, Kentucky to visit the Creation Museum.


US Air Force Using Acupuncture?

December 12, 2008

The Baltimore Sun is reporting that the US Air Force has begun using Battlefield Acupuncture.  There is lots of evidence that acupuncture reduces pain.  It is a very effective placebo, but it has not been reliably shown to reduce pain more than any other placebo.

The claims that this “… can relieve even unbearable pain for days at a time” seems suspicious.  If I were in unbearable pain I would want more than a few little pins in my ear.

Is there a proper scientific study that justifies this?  The Baltimore Sun is quoting from Col. Richard Niemtzow who has published numerous papers.  Unfortunately he appears to have mainly published in acupuncture journals and the published studies on his website appear to be primarily anecdotal in nature.

I did find the following abstract for one of his papers, Auricular acupuncture in the treatment of acute pain syndromes: A pilot study by Goertz CM, Niemtzow R, Burns SM, Fritts MJ, Crawford CC, Jonas WB., Military  Medicine. 2006 Oct;171(10):1010-4

This pilot study used a randomized controlled clinical trial design to compare the effects of standard emergency medical care to auricular acupuncture plus standard emergency medical care in patients with acute pain syndromes. Eighty-seven active duty military personnel and their dependents with a diagnosis of acute pain completed the study, which was conducted in the emergency room (ER) at Malcolm Grow Medical Center, Andrews Air Force Base, Maryland. The primary outcome measure was change in pain level from baseline, as measured by the Numerical Rating Scale. Participants in the acupuncture group experienced a 23% reduction in pain before leaving the ER, while average pain levels in participants in the standard medical care group remained basically unchanged. (p < 0.0005). However, both groups experienced a similar reduction in pain 24 hours following treatment in the ER.

So there was no blind, neither single nor double.  The subjects were given a treatment that is known to have a placebo effect, and it initially reduced the perceived amount of pain but after 24 hours there was no difference.

It is not too surprising that the study was not single or double blinded.  Acupuncture is hard to single blind, and nearly impossible to double blind.  See Barker Bausell’s Snake Oil Science: The Truth about Complementary and Alternative Medicine for a good description of some of the problems.

As always it ends with the:

More research is needed to elucidate treatment effects and to determine mechanisms.

I also found the first page of  Battlefield Acupuncture, Niemtzow, R., Med Acup Vol.19 Issue 4 pp. 225-228.

The name “Battlefield Acupuncture” coined by the author, …

The technique delivers significant attenuation of pain in just a few minutes.  The length of the pain-free period does vary from minutes, hours, days, weeks and months depending on the presenting pathology and the duration of the stimulate….

I interpret this as the technique gives pain relief for a random amount of time.

Neither of these small chunks of web information appear to match the efficacy described in the Baltimore Sun.

I wish I could find more information on this.  This is definitely not proper review of Dr. Niemtzow’s work, I do not have access to many of the papers he has published, though many of them are in regards to acupuncture treatments for other ailments.  He appears to be a dedicated concerned practitioner who has published numerous papers based on his work.


Can you hang a real witch?

December 8, 2008

Ok, I think this is funny.


Log, Log, Log, Log, Its Better Than Bad Its Good

December 4, 2008

Bad astronomy has a picture from Opportunity of what looks like an old fence post on the surface of mars.

Phil claims it is a rock but it sure doesn’t look like one.


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